Fortuna >> On Wednesday afternoon at Fortuna High School a group of boys are huddled near a table in art teacher Daniel Holmes’ classroom, getting sized for what one would assume is a class ring. Only these boys aren’t all seniors, and they’re not getting fitted for class rings. The rings they’re getting fitted for are of the championship variety.The group is comprised of members of the 2016 CIF North Coast Section Division I champion Fortuna Huskies soccer team, and Holmes is their coach.On …
Ahead of Wednesday night’s Chicago Blackhawks-Los Angeles Kings game, I wrote about the “hottest” goalies of the Stanley Cup playoffs to date. No. 1 on the list? Chicago’s Corey Crawford, who promptly had the worst game of his playoff career, allowing five goals on 30 shots in the Kings’ runaway victory.It probably seems self-serving not to merely chalk this up to a bad prediction (granted, I did note that “today’s hot goalie isn’t guaranteed to be a success tomorrow”) or even a jinx of some kind. But it might be more instructive if taken as an example of a few interesting philosophical concepts in sports.First, there’s the impact of randomness on performance. Goaltending statistics are incredibly noisy in the small sample of a game. It takes 3,000 shots faced for save percentage to be half-skill and half-luck; Crawford faced 1/100th of that amount in Game 2. Even the best prediction isn’t going to be very accurate in a given game when it goes up against that kind of volatility.Also, because of the outsize role of random chance, a goaltender’s numbers are a good illustration for the gulf between predictive and “retrodictive” metrics, which can also be framed as a tug-of-war between ability and value. A statistic that places its emphasis on value will reward past performance, regardless of whether that performance was driven by luck or skill. So when a mediocre goalie steals a game against a good team, he gets full credit for that performance in a retrodictive metric such as our “hotness” statistic — even if he’s unlikely to repeat it. But a predictive stat will not give extra credit for a fluky performance, beyond using the evidence from that performance to (slightly) update its expectations.Finally, some superstitious FiveThirtyEight readers may think I “stat-cursed” Crawford by anointing him the hottest goaltender of the 2014 postseason. There’s a long tradition of athletes and teams sustaining declines after being singled out for achievements. But in these kinds of cases, regression to the mean is the more likely culprit. To appear on the cover of the “Madden NFL” video game or Sports Illustrated, a player had to play at an incredibly high level, and was usually aided by luck (which includes staying healthy). When that luck dissipates, it seems there’s a curse attached to the accolade.This is more true for the hottest goalie list, because I set up that metric to find players who were playing above a level that could be explained by their previous performance baselines and even the shooting skill of the opposing team. Whatever’s left over is, by definition, going to be fueled largely by luck, and therefore primed for regression.In fairness to Blackhawks fans, regression rarely comes as abruptly (or as far in the opposite direction) as it did for Crawford on Wednesday night. Predictors who forecasted Crawford to allow five goals (if there were any) would have been engaging in the gambler’s fallacy, thinking he was “due” for bad luck to offset his previous fortune. In reality, luck is random. And the interplay between luck and skill is what makes sports interesting, especially in the high-stakes setting of the NHL’s conference finals.
Jeff Deibel, in his 35th year of stringing racquets for the OSU men’s and women’s tennis teams, is on call for the Buckeyes 24/7.Credit: Mark Batke / Photo editorOhio State’s tennis teams go through an estimated 1,600 racquet strings a year and someone has to be there to make sure the racquets are restrung for practice, matches and tournaments.Jeff Deibel has been stringing racquets at OSU for 35 years and is on call 24/7 for the Buckeyes men’s and women’s tennis teams.“I have strung on holidays on quite a few occasions,” Deibel said of his constant work schedule. “I have strung on Christmas Eve … I have strung on New Year’s Eve, I’ve also strung on New Year’s Day.”Deibel holds a day job as an accounting manager at Ice Miller LLP. But after work, he goes to the indoor facility to pick up equipment in need of new strings.“It could turn out to be an hour’s worth of work, to six or seven hours worth of work depending on what kind of mood they’re in,” Deibel said.By they, Deibel is speaking of the players who sometimes hold off until the last minute to turn in their racquets, he said.Sometimes that can mean racquets turning up just before the players have to leave for their next match.“You find guys and girls emptying their bags, having memory loss of when they turned stuff in last,” Deibel said.Although waiting until the last minute to turn in a racquet isn’t ideal, Deibel said some players go “overboard” turning racquets in early.“Last time I looked, you can only play with one racquet at a time, even though they think they got to have three fresh racquets for every match,” Deibel said.The players are aware that they do this to Deibel, but they look at it as a precaution, redshirt-senior Kevin Metka said.“We give him so many racquets sometimes, especially after matches he gets a little angry with us … We don’t want our racquet to be almost broken and then you go into a match and you break it in an important point,” Metka said.Deibel got his start while attending OSU, when former coach John Daly approached him to string for the Buckeyes.“One year turned into two, and two years turned into 10, and now we’re on our second coach,” Deibel said.In 1999, Ty Tucker took over the OSU men’s tennis program, and although the staff continued to change, Deibel continued on.“He was stringing racquets when I was playing here, so I’ve known him well and obviously we have complete faith in what he does,” Tucker, who played for OSU from 1989-1991 said.A lot has changed over the years, including Deibel’s responsibilities.Part of that change has come with an advancement in racquet technology, as well as the number of different racquets players might have, Deibel said.“It used to be a handful of racquets and a handful of strings,” he said. “Now there are so many different racquets and so many different strings.”The players choose the type of string they want for their racquets, along with the tension they prefer when coming to OSU. But finding the right strings isn’t always easy.“They have an idea of what they want, on the string side it’s a personal preference,” Deibel said. “If they are playing with an expensive string … we may not be able to get it, it might just be too much out of the budget.“They rely on me to figure something out.”There is the occasional player who is more picky than others about their racquets, Deibel said. How people string a racquet can vary and, in some cases, players will disagree with the choice made by Deibel.“Most of them, as long as it’s the right tension and the right feel, they don’t have any complaints, but there are some that can just be ridiculous,” he said. “Couple of them have sent them back and told me they don’t like the way it was done and then we have a come-to-Jesus meeting.”Deibel said he normally wins those meetings with backup from Tucker, who “tells them they’re being ridiculous.”“(Deibel) is a handful, but a good guy,” Tucker said.Come-to-Jesus meetings and all, the team and Deibel seem to have kept a good relationship overall.“He knows all of our racquets … He’s a really nice guy. We all love him,” Metka said.Even with all the time, complaints and last-minute phone calls, Deibel said his second job has a way of overall staying “sort of fun and interesting.”
Ohio State then-freshman Tre Leclaire maintains possession of the ball in the first quarter against Loyola Maryland in the first round of the NCAA tournament on May 14, 2017 at Ohio Stadium. Credit: Sheridan Hendrix | Oller ReporterAfter being pushed out of the NCAA’s top 20 for the first time this season following Saturday’s 12-7 loss to No. 5 Denver, the now-unranked Ohio State men’s lacrosse team must clash with No. 4 Notre Dame and prove it has what it takes to make it back.The Buckeyes have lost two games in the past two weeks and are 5-3 on a season that began with a three-game win-streak. The imposing Fighting Irish are 4-2 with wins against Denver and No. 10 Virginia, but they are also coming off Wednesday’s 13-12 loss to Michigan. Notre Dame’s impressive offense boasts sophomore midfielder Bryan Costabile and junior attack Ryder Garnsey who scored three and five goals, respectively, in the team’s close game against the Wolverines. Costabile’s hat-trick was his third of the season, while Garnsey added one more to his six career hat-tricks. Notre Dame senior defenseman John Sexton and senior attack Mikey Wynne were named the ACC’s Defensive and Offensive Players of the Week, respectively, and are forces Ohio State will have to contend with in its upcoming tilt with Notre Dame.The Buckeyes will need to rely on big performances from their key players to keep up with a solid Irish team. Ohio State freshman attack J.T. Bugliosi scored two goals against the Pioneers Saturday, while five other Buckeyes recorded goals. Sophomore attack Tre Leclaire had two assists in the game, tying his season high. Offensive and defensive efforts alike will need to work in tandem to keep the Irish at bay. The Buckeyes expect to play under sunny skies on Sunday when they welcome the Fighting Irish for a noon faceoff at Ohio Stadium.
Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppBahamas, June 19, 2017 – Grand Bahama – Newly-elected Prime Minister of The Bahamas, Dr. the Hon. Hubert A. Minnis, on Saturday pledged to turn the economy of Grand Bahama around, shortly after his first official arrival to the island.Immediately following the arrival of Prime Minister Minnis, Mrs. Patricia Minnis, and other members of the delegation — seven-year-old Sophia Sawyer, granddaughter of one of the Free National Movement’s founding members Maurice Moore, presented Mrs. Minnis with a basket of flowers welcoming her to the island.“Grand Bahama is the birthplace of the FNM (Free National Movement) and our foundation, and Grand Bahama had promised they were going to give us five, and they delivered. So I have to come back and show Grand Bahama my appreciation, and then we will go through the entire Bahamas, island by island showing our appreciation.“Grand Bahama has been suffering for a very, very long time and the FNM and myself, have made a commitment that we will turn Grand Bahama around. We will see Grand Bahama as it was when even I, as a little boy, used to work here,” Prime Minister Minnis said while making a brief statement to the media.“And, that’s what we want to see happen here, and that will happen here.”The nation’s leader then explained that while on island, he would visit a few homes that were devastated during Hurricane Matthew in October 2016 and assist in getting them ready for the new hurricane season that has commenced.Among those meeting Prime Minister Minnis were: Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance, the Hon. K. Peter Turnquest; the Hon. Michael Pintard, Minister of Youth, Sports and Culture; Senator the Hon. Kwasi Thompson, Minister of State for Grand Bahama in the Office of the Prime Minister; the Hon. Pakesia Parker-Edgecombe, Parliamentary Secretary for Communication and Information in the Office of the Prime Minister; the Hon. Iram Lewis, Parliamentary Secretary in the Ministry of Works; and the Hon. Fredrick McAlpine, Member of Parliament for Pineridge Constituency. Also present were: President of the Senate, Mrs. Katherine Forbes-Smith; Melvin Seymour, Permanent Secretary in the OPM; Harcourt Brown, Senior Under Secretary in the OPM; Deputy Commissioner of Police, Emrick Seymour; other senior officers and Island Administrators.Press Release: BIS Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Related Items:
August 30th – One Year since Hurricane Irma named Recommended for you Related Items:#HurricaneIrma, #magneticmedianews, #TropicalDepression, #TropicalStormJose Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp#Bahamas, September 5, 2017 – Nassau – WINDS MAY GUST TO MORE THAN 25 KNOTS AND VISIBIITY REDUCED TO LESS THAN 3 NAUTICAL MILES DURING HEAVY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.GENERAL SITUATION: A TROUGH LINGERING OVER THE BAHAMAS WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER THE ISLANDS.ALL AREAS: SMALL CRAFT SHOULD BE ALERT FOR GUSTY WINDS AND HIGHER SEAS IN OR NEAR HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.In addition to #HurricaneIrma and #TropicalStormJose there is also newly formed #TropicalDepression 13.#MagneticMediaNews New, stringent posture on illegal construction makes fines, personal demolition and possible deportation legal says PDM Minister, law now passed Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp FortisTCI announces bid to hike electricity bills, cites record $42m response to hurricanes as destabilizing